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Another Shocking Primary Election Night

While the pre-election coverage for Tuesday’s Colorado primary focused on how former Governor and presidential candidate John Hickenlooper would fare in the Democratic Senate primary – he would win 60-40%, which was certainly well below what original projections forecast – the real story came in the state’s Western Slope congressional district.

There, five-term veteran Rep. Scott Tipton (R-Cortez) was soundly denied re-nomination by 2nd Amendment activist and local restaurant owner Loren Boebert in the Republican congressional primary. When the final votes are counted, Ms. Boebert will break 54% of the vote of what looks to be about 120,000 cast votes, more than double the amount of the last GOP primary held here in 2016.

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Snippets from Around the Country

Arizona Poll: In the middle of May, OH Predictive Insights (5/9-11; 600 AZ likely general election voters) released their Arizona statewide survey that received considerable attention in the political pundit community due to the Grand Canyon State’s importance in the presidential campaign. With its 11 electoral votes, Arizona is a must-win state for the Trump campaign. The OH poll found former Vice President Joe Biden leading 50-43%, his largest margin to date, but little in the way of analysis accompanied the poll release.

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Snippets from Around the Country

Democratic Nomination: Former Vice President Joe Biden clinched the Democratic nomination last Tuesday in Georgia with an 84% victory and a 65% West Virginia win sweeping the states’ combined 133 bound first ballot votes. By all counts now, Mr. Biden has exceeded the minimum 1,991 delegate votes to officially clinch the party nomination.

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A Look at Last Week’s Primary Results

Voters in Georgia, Nevada, North Dakota, South Carolina, West Virginia and Virginia chose nominees last week.

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The Georgia Senate Race: Perdue vs. Ossoff

Documentary film maker and former congressional candidate Jon Ossoff has secured the Democratic US Senate nomination with just over 52% of the statewide vote.

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The Senate Barometer

Next to discussion of the presidential race, the political contests attracting the most political attention and debate are the 2020 US Senate campaigns.

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Election Turnout During a Pandemic

In most political campaigns, the final electoral result is determined not necessarily from transforming undecided individuals into positive votes, but rather ensuring that the candidate’s committed supporters actually cast their ballot. Therefore, accurately projecting and influencing voter turnout becomes critical for every campaign.

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General Election Match Ups

The June 2 primary featured 10 states, and now the candidates are set for November. Below is a recap of the races from Tuesday’s primary that project as competitive this Fall, and an early prognosis for each.

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Super Junesday - A Look at Tuesday’s Primary Results

Ten entities held primary elections Tuesday, and among the voting results we saw a second US Congressman being denied re-nomination, as well as two primary victors who have virtually secured their seats in the next Congress.

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Should Minnesota be Considered a Swing State?

Most of this year’s political attention will be focused on the presidential election’s top tier states of Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin, but a second-tier domain could also become a political player, at least according to a new poll.

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