Comparing 2016 & 2020
Now that the presidential numbers are final and certified in all 50 states, we can begin to draw comparisons between the two Trump election years and see the states where movement was most significant.
Read morePolitical Snippets 1.08.21
Listed below are political snippets on the presidential, congressional, gubernatorial and city-wide races across the country. Enjoy!
Read moreBiden Elected; California Data Published
The Electoral College met in the various state capitols Monday as scheduled and the electors cast their ballots in the exact correlation with the state election data. Since the Electoral College increased to 538 members in time for the 1964 presidential election, we’ve seen faithless electors, those who vote for a candidate other than whom the state voters supported, in seven presidential elections.
Read moreTrump Coattails?
When examining 21st century electoral behavior, in an overwhelming number of states, we find that voters are choosing the US Senate contender of the party whose presidential candidate carries their particular electorate, and the 2020 vote is mostly no exception to such a premise.
Read moreIowa - District 2: Hart Petitions the House
As things officially stand, Rita Hart, the Democratic nominee in the open IA-2 congressional district that occupies the southeastern part of the state, has lost to state Sen. Mariannette Miller-Meeks* (R-Ottumwa) by a grand total of six votes from more than 393,000 ballots cast, but the challenge process is apparently not over.
Read moreAnalyzing the Patterns
Now that election results are being certified around the country, we can begin to analyze the numbers in an attempt to detect what voting patterns developed throughout the electorate.
Read moreThe Early Vote Predictor
While it became clear that the plethora of polling data published during the 2020 election cycle again proved a poor predictor of eventual campaign outcome in most states, another resource was discovered that might be the more reliable prognosticator.
Read moreUpdating the Electoral Scoreboard
With the presidential race still in the courts, the November 3rd unofficial results yield the mirror image of the 2016 contest. In the previous election, President Donald Trump defeated Hillary Clinton with a 306-232 electoral vote margin. In the current election, the margin between President Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden is exactly the same, but this time the close result yields a Democratic victory.
Read moreMore Races Called
The 2020 Election is not quite over, but final, much anticipated results for outstanding races are slowly being called.
Read moreThe 52% Club
The 2020 election isn’t officially even in the books yet, but we do have enough info to surmise who might be some of the most competitive early targets in the 2022 elections.
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