New polling data was just released in Texas that confirms what many observers have opined about the Lone Star State’s U.S. Senate campaign, and a scathing dissent from one of the three-judge panel members who heard the latest redistricting case could pave the way for a Supreme Court stay. U.S. Senate Ragnar Research (Nov. 12-17;
The already complicated 2025 national redistricting scene grew even more complex when a three judge federal panel in El Paso ruled, in a 2–1 decision, that the new Texas congressional map is a racial gerrymander and therefore voided. The panel ordered the previous 2021 map reinstated. If allowed to stand, the ruling will greatly disrupt
Last week, the Utah presiding state judge chose a new congressional map that will significantly change the Beehive State delegation. Previously, Judge Dianna Gibson (D) had invalidated the current map drawn in 2021 because she maintained the legislature ignored criteria that voters approved through a ballot initiative. The Utah state Supreme Court then upheld her
The Tar Heel State of North Carolina appears positioned to join the national redistricting wars. The state has been redrawn more than any other since the 2010 census, and it looks like the legislature may again change the congressional district boundaries. North Carolina has a unique system where the Governor has no veto power over
U.S. Senate Iowa: As predicted, Iowa Republican US Sen. Joni Ernst who won her previous elections in 2014 and 2020, announced that she will not seek re-election next year. Immediately, and also as predicted, US Rep. Ashley Hinson (R-Marion/Cedar Rapids) entered the race for the now open Senate seat. Rep. Hinson will be a viable
A new court decision has thrust another state to the forefront of the mid-decade redistricting battle that may be developing in as many as eleven states. A Utah judge recently issued a ruling that strikes down the state’s 4R-0D congressional map, saying the legislature did not have the right to usurp the citizens’ redistricting commission
As we know, the House has four vacant seats with the first in a series of rapid special elections held today, September 9. In Virginia’s 11th District, the battle to replace the late US Rep. Gerry Connolly (D-Fairfax) will largely be anticlimactic. The VA-11 seat is heavily Democratic (Dave’s Redistricting App partisan lean: 67.2D –
Now that the new Texas redistricting map has been signed into law, displaced Democratic incumbents and potential candidates are deciding where they will run. In the Dallas area, a game of political musical chairs must be played. All three Texas Democrats who currently represent part of Dallas County no longer live in the district for
The California proposed retribution redistricting map that key staff members at the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) drew is now public, and the process to adopt such a plan is underway. In order for the California Governor and legislators to replace their current congressional map before the 2030 census is completed, the leadership must find
The new Texas proposed congressional map was unveiled last week and, as President Donald Trump predicted, the new draw could produce a net of at least four and possibly five more Republican seats in the 38-member delegation. Gov. Greg Abbott (R) added the issue to his special legislative session agenda, because the US Justice Department
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