It has been known for some time that Sen. Bill Cassidy* (R) was going to face real competition in his fight for renomination this year, but a legitimate three-way race scenario was not often speculated upon. A series of late February surveys and the most recent Cassidy campaign poll confirm that State Treasurer and former
The Illinois Senate Democratic primary, which will be determinative in terms of who will succeed retiring Sen. Dick Durbin (D), is scheduled for tomorrow and the race is closing tight. US Representative Raja Krishnamoorthi has led the open statewide primary from Day 1 and most polling, but not all, still shows him maintaining at least
Earlier this month, voting occurred in the first three primary states - Arkansas, North Carolina, and Texas. A number of races were decided and several are heading to runoffs. Some primary winners are already preparing for tough general election campaigns, while others are celebrating victories tantamount to winning a November electoral contest. Arkansas Few incumbents
U.S. Senate Alabama: The new Alabama Poll (Released 2/6; 500 AL likely Republican primary voters) suggests a closing Republican US Senate primary contest. According to the new survey results, Attorney General Steve Marshall leads US Rep. Barry Moore (R-Enterprise) and retired Navy SEAL and anti-human trafficking activist Jared Hudson, 26-17-8%. Though still trailing, the result
U.S. Senate Michigan: Countering a Rosetta Stone poll (10/23-25; 637 MI likely general election voters) released recently that found former U.S. Rep. Mike Rogers (R) leading all potential Democratic nominees beyond the polling margin of error, regular Michigan pollster EPIC-MRA (released 11/14; 600 MI likely general election voters) finds a different result. From their data,
New polling data was just released in Texas that confirms what many observers have opined about the Lone Star State’s U.S. Senate campaign, and a scathing dissent from one of the three-judge panel members who heard the latest redistricting case could pave the way for a Supreme Court stay. U.S. Senate Ragnar Research (Nov. 12-17;
After what will be only three terms in Congress, Texas U.S. Rep. Troy Nehls (R-Richmond) surprisingly announced over the weekend that he will not seek re-election next year. Though Mr. Nehls is under a House Ethics Committee investigation under allegations that he used some of his campaign money for personal gain, there was unsurprisingly no
Three more U.S. House seats became open late last week, from Georgia, California and New York. GA-14: The recent feud between former staunch allies President Donald Trump and Georgia Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Rome) has culminated with the latter resigning from office. In her resignation announcement, Rep. Greene said, “I have too much self-respect and
The already complicated 2025 national redistricting scene grew even more complex when a three judge federal panel in El Paso ruled, in a 2–1 decision, that the new Texas congressional map is a racial gerrymander and therefore voided. The panel ordered the previous 2021 map reinstated. If allowed to stand, the ruling will greatly disrupt
U.S. Senate Kentucky: Well-known racing horse trainer Dale Romans announced that he will compete for Kentucky’s open Democratic U.S. Senate nomination. In the primary he will face retired Marine Corps officer and 2020 U.S.Senate nominee Amy McGrath, who proved herself a strong fundraiser but lacking as a candidate. She was also defeated in a 2018
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