U.S. Senate Michigan: Countering a Rosetta Stone poll (10/23-25; 637 MI likely general election voters) released recently that found former U.S. Rep. Mike Rogers (R) leading all potential Democratic nominees beyond the polling margin of error, regular Michigan pollster EPIC-MRA (released 11/14; 600 MI likely general election voters) finds a different result. From their data,
New polling data was just released in Texas that confirms what many observers have opined about the Lone Star State’s U.S. Senate campaign, and a scathing dissent from one of the three-judge panel members who heard the latest redistricting case could pave the way for a Supreme Court stay. U.S. Senate Ragnar Research (Nov. 12-17;
After what will be only three terms in Congress, Texas U.S. Rep. Troy Nehls (R-Richmond) surprisingly announced over the weekend that he will not seek re-election next year. Though Mr. Nehls is under a House Ethics Committee investigation under allegations that he used some of his campaign money for personal gain, there was unsurprisingly no
Three more U.S. House seats became open late last week, from Georgia, California and New York. GA-14: The recent feud between former staunch allies President Donald Trump and Georgia Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Rome) has culminated with the latter resigning from office. In her resignation announcement, Rep. Greene said, “I have too much self-respect and
The already complicated 2025 national redistricting scene grew even more complex when a three judge federal panel in El Paso ruled, in a 2–1 decision, that the new Texas congressional map is a racial gerrymander and therefore voided. The panel ordered the previous 2021 map reinstated. If allowed to stand, the ruling will greatly disrupt
U.S. Senate Kentucky: Well-known racing horse trainer Dale Romans announced that he will compete for Kentucky’s open Democratic U.S. Senate nomination. In the primary he will face retired Marine Corps officer and 2020 U.S.Senate nominee Amy McGrath, who proved herself a strong fundraiser but lacking as a candidate. She was also defeated in a 2018
Last week, the Utah presiding state judge chose a new congressional map that will significantly change the Beehive State delegation. Previously, Judge Dianna Gibson (D) had invalidated the current map drawn in 2021 because she maintained the legislature ignored criteria that voters approved through a ballot initiative. The Utah state Supreme Court then upheld her
The Dave’s Redistricting App (DRA) statistical organization released their data figures for the new 52 California redistricted congressional districts, and their non-partisan analysis may not be quite as rosy for the Democrats as Gov. Gavin Newsom and the party leaders have boasted. The DRA is the only data organization that has already calculated a clear partisan
The number of U.S. House members announcing they won’t seek re-election next year is beginning to form a cavalcade. Five-term Texas U.S. Rep. Jodey Arrington (R-Lubbock), chairman of the House Budget Committee, recently announced that he won’t seek re-election next year. In his retirement announcement, Rep. Arrington said, “I believe, as our founding fathers did,
A new Harper Polling survey of North Carolina likely voters produced positive numbers for Democrats, but other factors suggest the open Senate race is far from over. Harper projects former Governor Roy Cooper (D) to a lead beyond the polling margin of error for the 2026 Senate race. The underlying numbers, however, suggest that the
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