U.S. Senate Florida: A University of North Florida statewide poll gives us the first glimpse as to how appointed Sen. Ashley Moody (R) would fare in a general election. The survey (10/15-25; 728 FL likely 2026 general election voters; live interview) finds Sen. Moody comfortably ahead of former Brevard County School Board member Jennifer Jenkins
It appears we are seeing another state poised to join the mid-decade redistricting wars as an active participant. Indiana Gov. Mike Braun (R) summoned the legislature back into session to work several issues and congressional redistricting is expected to be among them. It is now clear that Indiana will play a major role in how
Ohio’s unique redistricting process ended as quickly as it began. The Buckeye State’s seven-member redistricting commission, which is comprised of elected officials from both parties and includes Gov. Mike DeWine (R), unanimously passed a new congressional map. The act of the commissioners reaching a bipartisan consensus vote means the map becomes law and does not
U.S. Senate Florida: Ex-Google executive and investor Hector Mujica (D) announced his U.S. Senate candidacy hoping to oppose appointed Sen. Ashley Moody (R). Democrats have been searching for a candidate to oppose Sen. Moody in the special election to fill the unexpired term. Because then-Sen. Marco Rubio (R) was appointed Secretary of State, a
The nine United States Supreme Court justices heard oral arguments for the second time on the Louisiana racial gerrymandering case. How this case is decided could have a major impact on the 2026 U.S. House election cycle and in district elections throughout the remainder of the current decade. At issue is Louisiana’s 6th Congressional District
U.S. Senate Alabama: A former White House aide and ex-military advisor to Alabama Sen. Tommy Tuberville (R) has entered the state’s open Senate race. Morgan Murphy now joins Attorney General Steve Marshall and U.S. Rep. Barry Moore (R-Enterprise) in vying for the Republican nomination. The eventual winner is a virtual sure bet to replace Sen.
A Democratic challenger to Speaker Emeritus Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) released an internal poll that he says positions him to end her congressional career. Ms. Pelosi, then the California Democratic Party chair, began her tenure with a special election victory in 1987 that would eventually lead to eight years directing the U.S. House. Saikat Chakrabarti quarterbacked
U.S. Senate Alabama: A recently released late August Alabama Senate survey (The Alabama Poll; 8/24-26; 600 AL likely Republican primary voters) again found Attorney General Steve Marshall (R) leading US Rep. Barry Moore (R-Enterprise) by a substantial margin. The Alabama Poll posted AG Marshall to a 37-16% lead over Congressman Moore. In July, McLaughlin &
Looking at the early congressional race announcements, we already see a number of former US House members either preparing or considering campaigns for the purpose of returning to their former position. At this point, we could see as many as ten ex-members embarking upon the campaign trail. Former Reps. Jerry Carl (R-AL), Hilda Solis (D-CA),
U.S. Senate Iowa: As predicted, Iowa Republican US Sen. Joni Ernst who won her previous elections in 2014 and 2020, announced that she will not seek re-election next year. Immediately, and also as predicted, US Rep. Ashley Hinson (R-Marion/Cedar Rapids) entered the race for the now open Senate seat. Rep. Hinson will be a viable
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