PAC Member News

Georgia Polling Dichotomy

An October polling plethora has been released in Georgia, which is becoming one of the most important 2020 election cycle states both in terms of the presidential and US Senate outcomes. As the only state featuring two US Senate races, Georgia has attracted more than its share of polling universe attention.

Read more
1 reaction Share

Political Snippets From Across the Country

Listed below are political snippets on the presidential, congressional, and gubernatorial races across the country. Enjoy!

Read more
2 reactions Share

Where the Senate Stands

Now, less than a month before the official Election Day, we see multiple polls coming regularly in almost every competitive Senate race. Democrats need a net conversion of three Republican seats if Joe Biden is elected President and four if he is not. With 16 races now on the competitive board, we look at where they each stand.

Read more
1 reaction Share

Arizona's Importance

Now moving quickly toward Election Week, it is becoming apparent that the ultimate bellwether state for the 2020 presidential election is the Grand Canyon State of Arizona. Formerly a rock solid Republican political domain, the state has been trending toward the political center in recent elections, most particularly 2018.

Read more
1 reaction Share

Potential Ticket Splitting?

We’ve seen a preponderance of straight-line party voting in the past few elections, but two new surveys testing both the presidential and US Senate campaigns in respective states suggest a split ticket result could possibly occur.

Read more
1 reaction Share

The First Debate

Last night, President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden took the stage for the first time in the 2020 presidential debate series. For much of the 90 minutes, insults and interruptions abounded resulting in little in-depth policy discussion about where each candidate wants to take the country in the next four years.

Read more
Share

US Senate: A Polling Comparison

Today, we look at the competitive Senate races and segment the group around polling consistency. Several races routinely report point spreads between the two major party candidates that are wildly inconsistent, while others vary over a small difference often within the same polling period.

The two most extreme surveys during the month are listed for each state with the most extreme first and the closest second. You will notice that the British firm, Redfield & Wilton Strategies, is often listed as the most extreme.

We begin, alphabetically by state, with the inconsistent group. Only the two Georgia races are in the September consistent segment.

Read more
Share

Political Snippets From Across the Country

Listed below are political snippets on congressional and gubernatorial races across the country. Enjoy!

Read more
Share

US House Challenger Candidates With a Lead

Is already seeing eight 2020 US House challengers unseat their incumbent opponents, obviously all in the primaries, a precursor to a larger number of incumbents losing their seats in the general election? 

In typical election years, well over 90% of incumbents who seek re-election win. Therefore, eight members denied re-nomination in their own party primary elections is an unusually high number. What’s more, turning to the general election, 22 House incumbents have trailed in at least one poll since July began.

Below is the list of incumbents, alphabetically by state, who are facing what appear to be the most competitive challengers in the country.  All challengers have led the incumbent in at least one political poll of their race. Tomorrow, we will cover the remaining eleven.

Read more
Share

Not So Fast

Soon after the announcement that Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg had passed away, Sen. Susan Collins* (R-ME) made a statement indicating that she would not support until after the election a motion to proceed that would allow the Senate to vote on confirming a Supreme Court replacement.

Read more
Share