We saw a polling bonanza released yesterday in the swing battleground state of Arizona and, no matter who you support or what you believe, there is survey data for you.

Three pollsters released results that tested the presidential race and the Arizona Senate contest between appointed Sen. Martha McSally* (R) and retired astronaut Mark Kelly (D). The three pollsters, all conducting their surveys within the June 26-29 period, gave us starkly different ballot test conclusions.

Arizona Poll: In the middle of May, OH Predictive Insights (5/9-11; 600 AZ likely general election voters) released their Arizona statewide survey that received considerable attention in the political pundit community due to the Grand Canyon State’s importance in the presidential campaign. With its 11 electoral votes, Arizona is a must-win state for the Trump campaign. The OH poll found former Vice President Joe Biden leading 50-43%, his largest margin to date, but little in the way of analysis accompanied the poll release.

The open Kansas Senate race is more interesting this year than typical for what is normally a safe Republican state; in fact, it is becoming one of the most intriguing races in the country.

U.S. Presidential Race

Jesse Ventura: Former Minnesota Governor and professional wrestler Jesse Ventura announced that he will not become a candidate for the Green Party presidential nomination. Mr. Ventura says doing so would force him to relinquish his employment and health insurance.

Texas US Rep. John Ratcliffe (R-Heath/Rockwall), just confirmed as the country’s new Director of National Intelligence, has already resigned from the U.S. House meaning that the state’s 4th Congressional District will now be open for the general election.

The June 2 primaries are fast approaching, and though very few House incumbents are in danger of joining Rep. Dan Lipinski* (D-IL) as a member who lost re-nomination in 2020, there is a serious intra-party challenge unfolding in northwest Iowa.

With so many early primary states moving their elections to June due to the Coronavirus shut down, no less than 24 states will hold their nominating event in the upcoming month, making this the most active primary month during the election cycle.

Two years ago, several national political prognosticators were predicting a strong Democratic election, i.e., “a blue wave,” by using special election results, mostly from state legislative campaigns, as one of their fundamental support arguments. As we know, the forecast proved correct.

California Democratic Assemblywoman Christy Smith (D-Newhall) conceded the 25th congressional district special election race to Republican Mike Garcia late last Thursday, making this the first time in decades that the GOP has converted a Democratic seat in the deep blue state.

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) ended his presidential campaign last week, therefore making former Vice President Joe Biden the Democratic Party’s unofficial nominee. Mr. Biden, still 766 bound delegate votes away from clinching a first ballot victory is now unencumbered in his bid to become the party standard bearer. It is likely that he will secure the 1,991 bound first ballot delegate votes once the June 2 primary, now featuring ten states, is held.